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The GOP Is in Better Shape Than You Think

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by Revmitchell, Nov 8, 2013.

  1. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell Well-Known Member
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    By
    Andrew Kohut
    Nov. 7, 2013 6:28 p.m. ET

    Tucked away in recent polls—which have documented the extraordinary anger directed at the Republican Party during the shutdown crisis—are measures of clear disappointment with the Democratic Party. The disappointment is substantial, and it raises big questions about the 2014 midterms.

    The Republican Party's favorable ratings fell substantially in most every national survey that uses this yard stick, declining to 28% in the Gallup poll at one point. Yet when the GOP was matched up against the Democrats on key political measures, it did not look so bad.

    A mid-October Pew Research national poll found that a plurality regard the Republicans as "better able to deal with the economy" than the Democrats (44%-37%). Independents favored the GOP on the economy by a whopping 46%-30% margin in that survey.

    The Republicans took most of the blame for the shutdown, yet a growing number see the GOP as "better able to manage the government." In December 2012, the Democratic Party held a 45%-36% advantage over the GOP as the party Americans viewed as better able to manage the government. By Oct. 15—in the midst of the shutdown and debt crisis—the Democratic lead on this measure disappeared: 42% said the Republican Party is better able to manage the federal government, compared with 39% who named the Democrats.

    An early read of voter preferences for the House in 2014 by the Pew Research Center in mid-October had the Democrats with a six-point edge: 49% to 43% among registered voters. In historical terms, this is a relatively modest margin. Six points is the same lead the Democrats had in 2009, a lead that steadily eroded in 2010. The GOP picked up six Senate seats and 63 House seats in that year's midterm.

    One clear troubling sign for the Democrats at this early stage is independent voters, who decide most elections. They are evenly divided, according to Pew's mid-October survey: 43% say that "if the elections for Congress were being held today," they would vote for the Republican candidate in their district, 43% say they would vote for the Democratic candidate.

    It is not too much of an oversimplification to say that Democrats are struggling because President Obama is struggling.

    http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303763804579181512436325236
     
  2. church mouse guy

    church mouse guy Well-Known Member
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    The only bad news is that the GOP lost the elections earlier in the week. Of course, the WSJ speaks for the country club and the country club prefers Christie or Jeb Bush. Can you imagine another Bush-Clinton contest? That would really be a good reason to abstain in my book. To tell you the truth, I cannot understand why the country club is excited over Christie--to me he is as dull as they come. He gave a terrible keynote speech at the Romney convention. It went over like a ton of bricks. Christie is a very boring speaker.
     
  3. SolaSaint

    SolaSaint Well-Known Member

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    I'm not a Christie fan either, if the GOP wants to lose again nominate him. I'm placing my hopes on the Obamacare utter failure and the sting that will be felt by many Americans on both sides that will last until November 2014. We will see if the country is sick of the Dems by then.
     
  4. OldRegular

    OldRegular Well-Known Member

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    Twelve more months of a lying Obama and Obamacare may well do the democrats in for a long time.

    Given the economic condition of a majority of people in the country a significant change must happen soon or there will be chaos. The stock market is a false indicator of the economy because the Fed is printing money!
     
  5. poncho

    poncho Well-Known Member

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    It just may be that chaos is the plan OR.
     
  6. SolaSaint

    SolaSaint Well-Known Member

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    You're right, Saul Alinski would make such a plan, or should I say Lucifer.
     
  7. go2church

    go2church Active Member
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    There is plenty of failure to highlight, that's for sure. Now can the Republican Party pull together and generate a successful campaign? On the failure note, it would probably be wise to include what you're going to do different instead of just saying, look how bad theses folks have been.
     
  8. SolaSaint

    SolaSaint Well-Known Member

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    True, the GOP seems so dysfunctional right now. Will the Tea Party rise above the establishment GOP? Will they unit behind a real conservative? Better question, is there a real conservative these days? It's about as hard to find a genuine conservative as it is to find a genuine conservative Baptist church.
     
  9. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell Well-Known Member
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    Which is what the Tea Party has been doing

    Which is what the establishment has been doing and why the Tea Party has even come along.
     
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