Any Democratic Pennsylvania Primary Predictions?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by KenH, Apr 21, 2008.

  1. KenH

    KenH
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    Mine is:

    Senator Clinton 54%
    Senator Obama 46%
     
  2. Bro. Curtis

    Bro. Curtis
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    I think it'll be such a wide margin that the super delegates will be forced into a fast decision.

    Hillary-72 %
    Obama-22%
    Smart dems who write in Ron Paul-6%
     
  3. dragonfly

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    I wish you would share why you think there will be this large of a gap? The Real Clear Politics Average shows: Clinton 49.0, Obama 43.1 as of this past weekend.

    I think it will be Clinton by approximately 5 points, which is not enough to stop Obama.
     
  4. Salty

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    How do you figure a smart dem would vote for Paul? If they were smart, they wouldnt be a Dem:wavey:

    Besides, are write ins allowed in the PA primiary?
     
  5. EdSutton

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    I predict that the one who who receives the most votes will win the PA Democrat primary. :rolleyes:

    Ed
     
  6. poncho

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    I'd say the one on the best terms with Diebold and ES&S executives will win.
     
  7. dragonfly

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    Yea, it's all just another conspiracy, right? :rolleyes:
     
  8. saturneptune

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    Three hundred million Americans and these two are the finalists for the Democratic nomination. Who cares who wins? The idea is to get rid of them in November.
     
  9. carpro

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    Hillary will win, but it won't be the crusher she needs.

    In the end , it won't take away Obama's celegate count lead.

    Hillary still needs to steal Florida.
     
  10. Bro. Curtis

    Bro. Curtis
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    According to what I've read, that can be done.
     
  11. dragonfly

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    I agree, Bush did it in 2000!
     
  12. EdSutton

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    Cute!

    So what if the statement is false, its politics, right?? :rolleyes:

    Ed
     
  13. KenH

    KenH
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    Well, at 30 minutes past the closing of the polls the race is too close to call. Therefore, it would appear that Senator Clinton will not get the blowout victory that she needed, and with a campaign already in debt, this might be the end for her campaign if her victory is 5 points or less.
     
  14. KenH

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    Now it is being characterized as too early to call as Senator Clinton does have a lead. So what remains to be seen is what her final % margin of victory is.
     
  15. TomVols

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    I Clinton. I believe she will stay in, citing that a win is a win. Late deciders are swinging widely for Clinton. Wonder if Bill Clinton's gaffe on the radio today swung any voters and cut into that? Can that narcissist not keep his mouth shut for his wife's benefit? Has someone told him he's not running? :laugh:

    (edited to get the fuzzy math out) ;)
     
    #15 TomVols, Apr 22, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Apr 22, 2008
  16. KenH

    KenH
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    What happens to the other 8%, Tom?
     
  17. TomVols

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    Ugh...sorry....

    54-45 with some percentage points in there. Sorry, fell asleep just before coming to the pc. Long week already. I think it's going to be roughly an 8 point spread, maybe 9 full.
     
  18. TomVols

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    CNN just called it for Hillary.
     
  19. poncho

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    Wow. How totally under whelming.
     

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