If Huckabee Loses in South Carolina...

Discussion in 'Politics' started by KenH, Jan 17, 2008.

  1. KenH

    KenH
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    is he done? He may continue through February 5th but would he be, in practical terms, out of the running?
     
  2. KenH

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    Looks like we may very well find out tomorrow night. McCain looks headed for a comfortable victory in South Carolina and frontrunner status. A win in Florida would probably give McCain unstoppable momentum for February 5th. This reminds me of 1996 when Republicans nominated Bob Dole because he had been a big name in national politics for a while and it was "his turn" to head up the GOP in a presidential election.
     
  3. PastorSBC1303

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    If Huckabee cannot win in SC I would think he is in trouble and McCain will be the frontrunner. Also, if McCain can win Florida, he should get the nomination IMO.

    If Huckabee wins SC it will remain a wide open race.
     
  4. faithcontender

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    Looks like Huckabee is going to win.

    Here's the lastest ARG poll:

    Huckabee - 33%

    McCain- 26%

    Thompson- 21% [​IMG]

    Romney- 9%

    Guiliani- 3%

    Paul- 2%

    http://americanresearchgroup.com/
     
    #4 faithcontender, Jan 18, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 19, 2008
  5. PastorSBC1303

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    That is one of the few polls that has Huckabee winning.

    Realclear politics has the avereage of polls and it has:

    McCain: 27.1

    Huckabee: 25.3
     
  6. faithcontender

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    Yes, but ARG is the latest one. (01/18/08). Other polls are taken on 1/16 to 1/17.

    Huckabee is definitely surging. This maybe because of yesterday's endorsement of Lt. Gov. Bauer.
     
    #6 faithcontender, Jan 18, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 18, 2008
  7. JamieinNH

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    Is this the same type of polls that had Obama winning in NH by 13 points?!? :rolleyes:

    Polls are only good when they line up with what you're wanting....

    Jamie
     
  8. faithcontender

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    Well, No need to argue about polls. We will know it shortly. I just pointed out that Huckabee is surging based on the recent polls. Other recent polls also have the same trend with Huckabee is surging.
     
  9. JamieinNH

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    Agreed

    You say polls.. with an s

    There are seven polls on that site at the top...

    One for Huckabee...
    Two for a tie.....
    Four for McCain.......

    They average them all and have McCain ahead.


    I don't care either way, I don't want either of them to win. :) I am only saying it's funny that people will post poll data when it fits, but when it don't then polls are nothing more than a waste of time...

    Jamie
     
  10. faithcontender

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    If you look at the trend of the other polls. You will find that the trend is: Huckabee is surging. Other poll shows Huckabee is tied or just closed behind Mccain.

    If you compared this polls with the previous poll results even with the same polling agency, you will notice that Huckabee's trend is upward. That's why in my opinion I think Huckabee is going to win. I may be wrong but that's the way I see it. And since I support Huckabee so I'm just trying to be optimistic.

    Now if you don't agree with me that's fine. We will know the results soon. :thumbs:
     
    #10 faithcontender, Jan 19, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 19, 2008
  11. mcdirector

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    We will only know for sure when the day is over (not to state the obvious). Personally, I think it could go either way.
     
  12. KenH

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    My prediction:

    McCain 28%
    Huckabee 23%
    Thompson 20%

    Then Thompson drops out and endorses McCain.
     
  13. faithcontender

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    Since you were wrong in your prediction about Huckabee not to win in Iowa, I got the feeling that you will be wrong again in this.

    I would not give specific nos. but i predict Huckabee will win in SC. I have to go with the Rasmussen market which shows that Huckabee has more chance of winning than McCain.

    Rasmussen markets data
     
    #13 faithcontender, Jan 19, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 19, 2008
  14. Rippon

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    And Thompson wins with 40% !

    M.H. stays in the race anyway .
     
  15. Ivon Denosovich

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    Do you think he'll endorse McCain before or after Flordia?
     
  16. Rippon

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    At neither time . You don't work for Politico do you ?:laugh:
     
  17. Ivon Denosovich

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    Okay, Rippon. Let's play a friendly game. When FT drops out and endorses McCain you have to put, "Libertarians rock" in your signature line for a week. If he doesn't BOTH drop out and endorse McCain (odds are in your favor as I have to accurately predict TWO events) I'll put whatever you like in my sig for a week. Deal?
     
    #17 Ivon Denosovich, Jan 19, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 19, 2008
  18. KenH

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    Not anymore. Zogby is just as recent now and it shows McCain winning.
     
  19. PastorSBC1303

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    :laugh: Your gusto strikes again.

    I would love to see Thompson win, but it just does not look probable. Even if the polls are off, doubtful they are off that much.
     
  20. Rippon

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    No deal . We shall simply see how things play out . McCain is his friend , but goes against too many of Thompson's principles .

    Fred Thompson will do well in South Carolina . The race is just beginning .
     

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