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Iowa Prediction

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by saturneptune, Dec 30, 2007.

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  1. saturneptune

    saturneptune New Member

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    With Iowa caucuses just a few days away, who do you think will come in first, second, and third on both sides?
     
    #1 saturneptune, Dec 30, 2007
  2. Salty

    Salty 20,000 Posts Club
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    The one with the most votds:laugh:
     
    #2 Salty, Dec 30, 2007
  3. saturneptune

    saturneptune New Member

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    That is amazing insight. You would be good on CNN's instant election coverage.
     
    #3 saturneptune, Dec 30, 2007
  4. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

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    My Iowa cauci predictions:


    Democrats:

    Clinton 36%
    Obama 33%
    Edwards 31%

    I don't see any other Democrat making the 15% threshold rule that the Democrats use.


    Republicans:

    Romney 28%
    Huckabee 25%
    McCain 15%
    Guiliani 12%
    Thompson 9%
    Paul 7%
    Hunter 4%

    The Republicans use a secret ballot straw poll.
     
    #4 KenH, Dec 30, 2007
  5. Ps104_33

    Ps104_33 New Member

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    You dont have much confidence in your candidate do you Ken.
     
    #5 Ps104_33, Dec 30, 2007
  6. Salty

    Salty 20,000 Posts Club
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    Actually, I think Ken has too much confidence. I would say Paul will get 3 - 5 % of the vote
     
    #6 Salty, Dec 30, 2007
  7. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

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    Actually, I don't have much confidence in the American people, including Republicans, to vote for limited government in 2008. Of course, I would be quite happy to be proven wrong about this. :)
     
    #7 KenH, Dec 30, 2007
    Last edited: Dec 30, 2007
  8. saturneptune

    saturneptune New Member

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    democrat
    Obama 36
    Edwards 34
    Clinton 30


    republican
    Huckabee 35
    Paul 28
    McCain 20
    Romney 17
     
    #8 saturneptune, Dec 31, 2007
  9. StefanM

    StefanM Well-Known Member
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    I'm not going to worry about percentages, but here are my picks:

    Dems:

    1) Obama
    2) Clinton
    3) Edwards

    GOP:

    1) Huckabee
    2) Romney
    3) McCain
     
    #9 StefanM, Dec 31, 2007
  10. saturneptune

    saturneptune New Member

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    It is hard to differ with your dem picks. It is so tight, anything could happen. My rep picks are based on my belief Paul will be a surprise.
     
    #10 saturneptune, Dec 31, 2007
  11. Dagwood

    Dagwood New Member

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    Democrats:

    1. Clinton
    2. Obama
    3. Edwards

    Republicans:

    1. Romney
    2. Huckabee
    3. McCain
     
    #11 Dagwood, Dec 31, 2007
  12. Ivon Denosovich

    Ivon Denosovich New Member

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    Dems:

    1) Obama
    2) Clinton
    3) Edwards

    Pubs:

    1) Romney
    2) Huckabee
    3) Paul
    4) McCain
    5) Thompson
    6) Giuliani
     
    #12 Ivon Denosovich, Dec 31, 2007
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 31, 2007
  13. Ps104_33

    Ps104_33 New Member

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    You are in worst shape that I thought. I wonder if Ron Paul feels that way.
     
    #13 Ps104_33, Jan 1, 2008
  14. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

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    I fail to see why you would wonder what Ron Paul thinks based on what I think.

    Actually, I am doing pretty well after my mother-in-law's death yesterday. My wife is having a real hard time having been the primary caregiver for her mother for the past five years but I have faith that the Lord will see us all through this time of transition.
     
    #14 KenH, Jan 1, 2008
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2008
  15. Martin

    Martin Active Member

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    Democrat

    1- Barak Obama/Hillary Clinton (too close to call)
    2-
    3- Edwards

    Republican

    1- Huckabee
    2- Romney
    3- McCain

    At the end of the day I still think this race is going to come down to Rudy v. Hillary. The other candidates just don't have the money or the resources to run national campaigns.
     
    #15 Martin, Jan 1, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 1, 2008
  16. PastorSBC1303

    PastorSBC1303 Active Member

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    Dem:

    1. Obama
    2. Hillary
    3. Edwards

    Rep:

    1. Romney
    2. Huckabee
    3. McCain
     
    #16 PastorSBC1303, Jan 1, 2008
  17. StefanM

    StefanM Well-Known Member
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    Well, it looks like it broke down like this:

    1) Huckabee
    2) Romney
    3) McCain/Thompson

    1) Obama
    2) Edwards
    3) Clinton!?!
     
    #17 StefanM, Jan 3, 2008
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