Which of these 2 top quarterbacks in this year's NFL draft do you expect to have the best NFL career? I have read recent articles comparing them, as well as looking at other years where the top 2 QB's went very high in the draft. In most cases these top 2 QB's with different styles have vastly different levels of success, and in some cases neither of them 'produced' according to their draft status. Examples are 1998, in which Peyton Manning and Ryan Leaf were the top 2 picks, and 1999 when it was Tim Couch, Donovan McNabb, and Alkali Smith who were the top 3 picks. Other top QB's which did/have been virtual busts are Joey Harrington, Steve Bartkowski, Alex Smith, and David Carr. A little better, but still not up to expectations, include Vinny Testaverde, Michael Vick, and Drew Bledsoe... all of whom were #1 picks. Actually there have been just 4, maybe 5, QB's since the 'modern' NFL began in 1970 who were the #1 overall picks and have really achieved the level [wins and personal stats] expected of such a rating... Terry Bradshaw, John Elway, Troy Aikman, and most recently Peyton Manning. Jim Plunkett may also go on that list, for though he finally won 2 Super Bowls, his oveall career was still less-than-expected. Nevertheless, if both Quinn and Russell have great careers, that will really buck a trend in the NFL. It gets very complex to analyze the type of coaching they had in college (and before) and how that may affect their situations. And NFL coaches and personnel execs are known to put differeing values priorities on players' shown abilities and the results of psychological tests. Some have let it slip that they think Russell may not have the work ethic required and that he needs to lose a little belly; some are saying that Quinn's inability to perform to his usual standards in 'big' games and making about 4 ill-advised throws per game is quite bothersome for a QB prospect. Fortunately (for Quinn, anyway) few place great stock on a singles game's performance-- while Russell got the better of Quinn in the Sugar Bowl, it's well-known to observers that was because LSU clearly had a speed advantage over Notre Dame. I am inclined to believe it will be the 3rd season for both of them before either shows something like all-conference level. But if Oakland picks one and Detroit the other, then I would go with whichever goes to Detroit-- an upcoming team with a great corps of receivers. My hunch (not logical) is that Quinn will have the better career.