Senator Obama Leads Senator McCain in Four Key Battleground States

Discussion in 'Politics' started by KenH, Jun 26, 2008.

  1. KenH

    KenH
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    "With partisans loyally aligning behind their respective parties, Obama's edge in each of the four states is founded on two factors: An increased tendency for voters to identify as Democrats and a solid margin for the Democrat among independent voters.

    Democrats held an edge over Republicans in three of the four states -- ranging from an 11-point gap among self-identified partisans in Wisconsin to an eight-point edge in Michigan. In Colorado, the survey found that Republicans comprised 29 percent of the electorate, compared with 28 percent for Democrats and 38 percent calling themselves independents. That dead heat on party identification, however, marks a major gain for Democrats from 2004, when exit polling showed Republicans with a nearly ten-point edge in the state.

    Independents, who were widely written off during the 2004 election in favor of appeals by the candidates to their respective party bases, look likely to play a central role in picking the next president in these four battleground states. And for now, Obama has a clear edge over McCain among independent voters in all four states. That lead is largest in Minnesota, where Obama takes 54 percent among independents compared with just 33 percent for McCain. The Democrat's lead was 13 points in Wisconsin, 12 in Colorado and eight in Michigan.

    Obama's lead among independents is all the more important given the large number of voters eschewing the two major parties in each state. In Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin, roughly three-in-ten voters identify as independents; in Colorado that number is closer to four in ten."

    - rest at www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/26/AR2008062601307.html?hpid=topnews
     

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