State Polls (Bush Surging in Iowa)

Discussion in 'Free-For-All Archives' started by bb_baptist, Oct 22, 2004.

  1. bb_baptist

    bb_baptist
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    2 polls have Bush leading in Iowa by six points:
    Survey USA, 51% to 45%, and Mason-Dixon, 49% to 43%.

    (The Survey USA poll is likely voters, while the Mason-Dixon poll is registered voters.)

    Latest Stratgic Vision poll results:

    OHIO
    Bush 48%
    Kerry 46%

    FLORIDA
    Bush 49%
    Kerry 47%

    MICHIGAN
    Kerry 48%
    Bush 46%

    MINNESOTA
    Kerry 49%
    Bush 48%

    All these polls were done October 18-20.
     
  2. Ray Berrian

    Ray Berrian
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    Wonderful! I hope Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania go to our pro-life, pro-family, American President. I hope when voters go to the polls they remember to vote against the Navy candidate who flew to Paris and then on to Communist Hanoi. We don't forget his history of appeasement with the enemy back in the 1960's. We have in our Senate a 'wolf in sheep's clothing.
     
  3. The Galatian

    The Galatian
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    Oct. 21 Ohio University poll:
    Bush 43 Kerry 49

    Florida?
    Insider Advantage polling Oct 21
    Bush 48.8 Kerry 48.8

    Michigan?
    Epic-NRA 2 Oct 21
    Bush 43 Kerry 49

    Minnesota?
    Rasmussen Oct 21
    Bush 48 Kerry 46

    It's been swinging back to Kerry for the past day or so, most places.

    As of this morning, Kerry 257 Bush 254 The worrisome one for Kerry is Minnesota; he should be winning there. The one for Bush is Ohio. No GOP candidate has been elected president without Ohio.

    If they only knew how to time the swings...
     
  4. Rosell

    Rosell
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    Actually, Zogby/Reuters, which is the daily tracking poll that hit the 2000, 1996, and 1992 elections right on the head, has Kerry leading in Iowa by 5, Minnesota by 6 and Wisconsin by 4, along with a 5 point lead in Ohio, 2 in Florida and by 7 in Pennsylvania. This is supported by two other daily trackers, Rassmussen and Gallup. If you put all three together, over the past week, they are within two or three points of each other on a seven day stretch, with Kerry leading in all of those key states by between 2 and 5 points.

    With the polls all over the place, and most polls not able to track the likely voters who have just registered for this election, I'd say any polling source will be lucky if they get within their stated margin of error. Our local paper this week reported in taking a poll for a local congressional race that 75 percent of the calls made were either hang-ups or the people never answered the call.

    I'm more concerned about the Republicans stealing votes in close states, particularly Florida and Ohio, than how close the election will be.
     
  5. Terry_Herrington

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    In order for that to happen, we would actually have to have one of these in the White House.

    Bush may be a lot of things, but being pro-family, pro-life, and pro-American are definitely not some of these things.

    Now, if you are talking about a president who "talks" about these things without doing very much, Bush fits the bill.
     
  6. KenH

    KenH
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    I'm more concerned about the Democrats perpetrating voter fraud in close States, particularly Florida and Ohio, than how close the election will be.

    I don't think it will be very close:

    Bush 52%
    Kerry 45%
    Others 3%
     
  7. The Galatian

    The Galatian
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    The real wild card is the flood of new voters coming in. No one is sure if they'll actually vote, but if they do, they could throw it all one way or another.

    The conventional wisdom is that more voters equal good news for democrats. And the republicans seem to agree. Even Mallard Filmore is trying to discourage people from voting.
     
  8. KenH

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    Especially if the Democrats can manage to get them to vote fraudulently, perhaps several times.
     
  9. Pennsylvania Jim

    Pennsylvania Jim
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    That would be great, if we had one.
     
  10. bb_baptist

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    State polls from Strategic Vision:

    WISCONSIN
    Bush 49%
    Kerry 44%
    Nader 1%

    FLORIDA
    Bush 49%
    Kerry 47%
    Nader 1%

    Martinez 48%
    Castor 46%

    OHIO
    Bush 47%
    Kerry 45%
    Others 1%
     

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