Will Republicans Keep the Senate?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by StefanM, Aug 19, 2016.

  1. StefanM

    StefanM
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    I thought I'd see if anyone could weigh in from the states up for grabs.

    In my state of Arkansas, Sen. John Boozman is going to trounce Democratic sacrificial lamb, Conner Eldridge.


    What about your state? (Or any state that interests you?)
     
  2. carpro

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    What difference does it make? They've kissed Obama's toes on every issue, as it is. No reason to believe they won't do the same for Hillary.

    Mcconnel could switch parties and no one would be able to tell by what goes on in the Senate. Ryan is even worse.
     
  3. StefanM

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    That's not exactly true. If it were, Merrick Garland would be sitting on SCOTUS right now.
     
  4. Rob_BW

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    In NC it looks like Burr (R) will win reelection.

    I'm more worried about the gubernatorial race; McCrory is not that far ahead of Roy Cooper.
     
  5. carpro

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    They will eventually fold on that one as well.

    If Hillary is elected, she'll get whoever she wants.
     
  6. Smyth

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    You mean Mr. Ginsburg.
     
  7. Smyth

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    Will Republicans win the Senate? It depends on how many Republicans RATs convince to stay home on election day.
     
  8. StefanM

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    He seems to be more of a Stephen Breyer/David Souter kind of jurist. He's not liberal enough to be like RBG. She really is on the far left of things.

    That being said, he's more liberal than any nominee a Republican would make.
     
  9. StefanM

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    All the NeverTrumpers I've seen in my circles are rather committed to going to the polls to vote for down-ballot races, and they encourage others to do the same. They might vote for Johnson as the only exception to a straight GOP ticket.
     
  10. kyredneck

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    Let's pray we don't lose the Republican congress to counter balance the extremes of a Hillary executive branch. The 94 midterm elections yanked the Clintons from extreme left policies during the rest of their presidency and it's the only chance we have now to have some semblance of a buffer against their extremes this time around.
     
    #10 kyredneck, Aug 19, 2016
    Last edited: Aug 19, 2016
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  11. kyredneck

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    Maybe I'm an idiot but I keep hoping that this 'Trump revolution [revolt]' would serve as a serious wake-up call for the Republicans.
     
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  12. carpro

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    This Congress is nowhere near as resolute and committed as the 1994 and 1996 Congress. These are led by cowards.
     
  13. StefanM

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    I don't think there is any way that the GOP loses the House. The main issue with the Senate is confirmation of nominees and appointees, most significantly SCOTUS.

    The House can block legislation, but it can't do a thing about judicial nominees. That's up to the Senate, per the Constitution, so there's no way around it.
     
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  14. kyredneck

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    Note I wrote "some semblance of a buffer". Note I wrote "I keep hoping that this 'Trump revolution [revolt]' would serve as a serious wake-up call for the Republicans".
     
  15. StefanM

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    It only matters for primaries, and that's going to depend on the next election cycle. If a Senator isn't up for election until 2022, that's a long time to wait this whole thing out to see where the water gathers. And if a Senator is running in a competitive race against a Democrat, they're likely distancing themselves from Trump and may lose anyway.
     
  16. kyredneck

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    Right. Exactly.
     
  17. kyredneck

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    Share your expectations?
     
  18. StefanM

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    If I had to guess, as of right now, I think the GOP holds onto the Senate. They definitely keep the House.

    As of this moment, I think Hillary will probably win. She'll be limited to executive orders, though, and she can forget about SCOTUS nominees.

    But I do think the Senate is going to be close. We may be looking at 51 Republicans or thereabouts.

    If Trump wins, I think it would mean a wave that might actually gain a seat or two for the GOP.
     
  19. kyredneck

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    For the life of me I can't see him doing that.

    IMO, if Jim Gray [D] intends to use the issue of gun control here in KY to unseat Rand Paul he is making a fatal mistake. Though Gray has been good for Lexington as Mayor I think Paul is expected to win senate race easily.
     
  20. StefanM

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    It would take some serious momentum shifts, but it is possible, albeit unlikely. Clinton probably has another scandal or two up her sleeve. Whether they will stick is another question.

    Trump's scandals are more tabloid scandals because he hasn't been in government. It's not government corruption if you are a private citizen (unless you bribe or something).

    The best chance to keep liberal justices off of SCOTUS is for the GOP to keep the Senate. A Trump win would cement it, but that's far from assured.
     

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