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Any Democratic Pennsylvania Primary Predictions?

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by KenH, Apr 21, 2008.

  1. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

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    Mine is:

    Senator Clinton 54%
    Senator Obama 46%
     
  2. Bro. Curtis

    Bro. Curtis <img src =/curtis.gif>
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    I think it'll be such a wide margin that the super delegates will be forced into a fast decision.

    Hillary-72 %
    Obama-22%
    Smart dems who write in Ron Paul-6%
     
  3. dragonfly

    dragonfly New Member

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    I wish you would share why you think there will be this large of a gap? The Real Clear Politics Average shows: Clinton 49.0, Obama 43.1 as of this past weekend.

    I think it will be Clinton by approximately 5 points, which is not enough to stop Obama.
     
  4. Salty

    Salty 20,000 Posts Club
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    How do you figure a smart dem would vote for Paul? If they were smart, they wouldnt be a Dem:wavey:

    Besides, are write ins allowed in the PA primiary?
     
  5. EdSutton

    EdSutton New Member

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    I predict that the one who who receives the most votes will win the PA Democrat primary. :rolleyes:

    Ed
     
  6. poncho

    poncho Well-Known Member

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    I'd say the one on the best terms with Diebold and ES&S executives will win.
     
  7. dragonfly

    dragonfly New Member

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    Yea, it's all just another conspiracy, right? :rolleyes:
     
  8. saturneptune

    saturneptune New Member

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    Three hundred million Americans and these two are the finalists for the Democratic nomination. Who cares who wins? The idea is to get rid of them in November.
     
  9. carpro

    carpro Well-Known Member
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    Hillary will win, but it won't be the crusher she needs.

    In the end , it won't take away Obama's celegate count lead.

    Hillary still needs to steal Florida.
     
  10. Bro. Curtis

    Bro. Curtis <img src =/curtis.gif>
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    According to what I've read, that can be done.
     
  11. dragonfly

    dragonfly New Member

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    I agree, Bush did it in 2000!
     
  12. EdSutton

    EdSutton New Member

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    Cute!

    So what if the statement is false, its politics, right?? :rolleyes:

    Ed
     
  13. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

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    Well, at 30 minutes past the closing of the polls the race is too close to call. Therefore, it would appear that Senator Clinton will not get the blowout victory that she needed, and with a campaign already in debt, this might be the end for her campaign if her victory is 5 points or less.
     
  14. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

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    Now it is being characterized as too early to call as Senator Clinton does have a lead. So what remains to be seen is what her final % margin of victory is.
     
  15. TomVols

    TomVols New Member

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    I Clinton. I believe she will stay in, citing that a win is a win. Late deciders are swinging widely for Clinton. Wonder if Bill Clinton's gaffe on the radio today swung any voters and cut into that? Can that narcissist not keep his mouth shut for his wife's benefit? Has someone told him he's not running? :laugh:

    (edited to get the fuzzy math out) ;)
     
    #15 TomVols, Apr 22, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Apr 22, 2008
  16. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

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    What happens to the other 8%, Tom?
     
  17. TomVols

    TomVols New Member

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    Ugh...sorry....

    54-45 with some percentage points in there. Sorry, fell asleep just before coming to the pc. Long week already. I think it's going to be roughly an 8 point spread, maybe 9 full.
     
  18. TomVols

    TomVols New Member

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    CNN just called it for Hillary.
     
  19. poncho

    poncho Well-Known Member

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    Wow. How totally under whelming.
     
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