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Discussion in 'Other Discussions' started by Rippon, Mar 6, 2014.

  1. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    What alternate universe is this?




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  2. TCassidy

    TCassidy Late-Administator Emeritus
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    Right now Clinton has a .1 to .2% edge on Trump. But that includes the "bump" from the convention.

    Over the next couple weeks that will level out and they will be neck and neck or possibly Trump will pull ahead.

    Of course, the only poll that actually counts is the one on November 8.
     
  3. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    Do you have a link to these post DNC polls that show the bounce that Hillary received? Because to my knowledge there are no post DNC polls released yet.



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  4. TCassidy

    TCassidy Late-Administator Emeritus
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  5. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    That is a composite score of several polls, the most recent poll in the group is the Reuters/Ispos poll which was taken July 25-29. So there is no bounce in those numbers.

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  6. TCassidy

    TCassidy Late-Administator Emeritus
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    Recent Polling Data

    All Matchups

    Firm Dates Sample Clinton Trump Spread

    EP Poll Average Clinton 44.1 Trump 44.0 Clinton +0.1
    Reuters/Ipsos 7/29 Clinton 40 Trump 35 Clinton +5
    LA Times/USC 7/28 Clinton 41 Trump 47 Trump +6
    Rasmussen Reports 7/26 - 7/27 1000 LV Clinton 43 Trump 42 Clinton +1
    Economist/YouGov 7/23 - 7/24 1057 RV Clinton 47 Trump 42 Clinton +5
    CBS News 7/22 - 7/24 1118 RV Clinton 43 Trump 44 Trump +1
    CNN/ORC 7/22 - 7/24 882 RV Clinton 45 Trump 48 Trump +3
    NBC News/SM 7/18 - 7/24 12931 RV Clinton 46 Trump 45 Clinton +1
    Gravis Marketing (R) 7/21 - 7/22 3462 RV Clinton 49 Trump 51 Trump +2
    American Research Group 7/17 - 7/20 990 RV Clinton 43 Trump 42 Clinton +1
     
  7. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    Yes, no bounce in these numbers.

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