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Stunning Utah Poll

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by InTheLight, Oct 12, 2016.

  1. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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  2. Jerome

    Jerome Well-Known Member

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    So, purple guy comes in third place in the poll.

    OP: Our darling's in second place in Utah!

    Huh?
     
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  3. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    Yes, when two people have the same top score they are tied for first place. The next highest score is in second place. Don't know why this has to be explained.

    Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo
     
  4. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell Well-Known Member

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    Hey hey hey! Get your own line! :Whistling
     
  5. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    LOL! Was thinking of you after I wrote it. It's a good line.


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  6. Rob_BW

    Rob_BW Well-Known Member

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    Are you sure about that? Looks to me like purple guy is in third place, not second. If two people tie for first, the next open place is third. If two people tie for second, the next open place is fourth, and etc., right?
     
  7. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    No. This isn't like league standings in sports with the various tiebreakers (wins against opponents, wins in the division, most points scored, least points allowed, etc.)

    If McMullin isn't in second place in this poll, who is?
     
  8. Jerome

    Jerome Well-Known Member

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    Correct. This is pretty rudimentary stuff:

    Evan McMullin Overtakes Gary Johnson in Utah at 22%

    "In a recently released poll from Utah, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a statistical tie with Evan McMullin and Gary Johnson following in third and fourth place respectively."
     
  9. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    I ask again--who's in 2nd place?
     
  10. 777

    777 Well-Known Member

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    There is no second place here, sheesh - if this poll is accurate, what you have here is a statistical tie for first place, MoE.

    I don't care much for the internals:

    https://www.dropbox.com/s/1p9dm1e1w...ntial Polling October 2016 Memo - Y2.pdf?dl=0

    because they ask about the Trump tape and not wikilinks, for one. It's also hard to believe that this McMullen person will ever win a state where almost half of the voters have no idea who he is.

    Hope it holds, those third parties are doing much better than the historical record shows there - want Utah to botch this and go for Clinton by fracturing the GOP vote and want Colorado to go Trump. Mix it up for 'em.
    I
     
  11. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    Utah going to a 3rd party is one of the scenarios, probably the most likely, where the election gets thrown in the House of Representatives. Trump takes FL, PA, and NC. Clinton gets OH, VA, WI. McMullin wins Utah. Neither Trump or Clinton get the needed 270 electoral votes. The House would then put Trump in the White House. I'm kind of pulling for this to happen, just to see history made.
     
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  12. carpro

    carpro Well-Known Member

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    Utah has always been more purple than red or blue. They have voted republican, bu most of their candidates have not been conservatives, except socially.
     
  13. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    Oh, OK. Like voting for Trump.

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  14. Rob_BW

    Rob_BW Well-Known Member

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    Nobody.

    Who has the third largest amount of votes? :)
     
  15. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    Aarrggh. Got me.

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  16. carpro

    carpro Well-Known Member

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    No. He's not Mormon.
     
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