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TRUMP ON TOP in Latest USC-LA Times Daybreak Tracking Poll – But It Gets Even Better…

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by Revmitchell, Aug 3, 2016.

  1. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell Well-Known Member

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    Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton 45.3 to 43.7 in the latest USC-LA Times Daybreak tracking poll.
    [​IMG]

    But the news is even better for Donald Trump…
    The poll is weighted to match demographics from the 2012 election.

    No one in their right mind believes Democrats have the advantage this year.

    Donald Trump shattered the previous GOP primary record by 1.4 million votes this year — and that was with 17 candidates in the race!

    Hillary Clinton received 1.5 million fewer votes this year than she did in 2008 – when she lost!

    Trump continues to sell out venue after venue.

    http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/08/trump-top-latest-usc-la-times-daybreak-tracking-poll/
     
  2. Rolfe

    Rolfe Well-Known Member

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  3. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    Sigh. You keep citing the same poll, which is a daily poll of the same 3,000 people. You have managed to find the one and ONLY poll that shows Trump leading. I guess self-delusion is what it takes to believe Trump is winning.

    Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo
     
  4. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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  5. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    [​IMG]

    Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo
     
  6. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell Well-Known Member

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    so who do you prefer to win the election Trump or Hillary?
     
  7. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    Neither. Which do you prefer--ebola or dysentery?

    Sent from my Nexus 7 using Tapatalk
     
  8. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    Here's the latest in this fake poll, showing Hillary leading. Was kind of wondering why there were no more posts in this thread recently:

    [​IMG]

    Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo
     
  9. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell Well-Known Member

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    No you weren't but to answer your fake question the poll is long gone. There is no reason to discuss a poll three weeks old.
     
  10. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member

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    This particular poll is an ongoing poll that tracks the same 3,000 people on a rotating basis, I believe 450 people per week. It will continue up to election day. So the only part that is 3 weeks old is the part where Trump was leading.

    Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo
     
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  11. 777

    777 Well-Known Member

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    Right, this one is a tracking poll but what's odd about this one is that they've about doubled the sample size in a month - now they're up to having 2325 in the sample, and they say it's going to continue to increase - well, why not just keep asking all 3000? The higher the sample, the more it's skewing to Hillary and I don't know about that. Even so, I find their methodology fascinating:

    https://uas.usc.edu/documents/uas/UAS Weighting Procedures.pdf

    Beware of any August poll, people on vacation, kids going back to school, convention fallout, but I think if the election were held today, the results would be in line with this poll's results.
     
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  12. Aaron

    Aaron Member

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    ITL and Rolfe are still in Denial, and it ain't jus' a river in Egypt.
     
  13. Rolfe

    Rolfe Well-Known Member

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    Your signature is right about your not being balanced part...
     
  14. 777

    777 Well-Known Member

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    Bumping this STUPID poll (there's just something about this one that rubs me the wrong way) to report now they're showing it at 44-43.4 Hillary.

    I wonder if these wild swings aren't by design. Trust no poll.
     
  15. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell Well-Known Member

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    Oh no you have to trust the polls just ask ITL
     
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