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Featured Why Ted Cruz will Win Iowa

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by InTheLight, Dec 7, 2015.

  1. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    New York is a blue state and will not be won by any Republican candidate, including Trump.

    Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo using Tapatalk.
     
  2. Jkdbuck76

    Jkdbuck76 Well-Known Member
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    You all know what IOWA means, right?

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  3. Salty

    Salty 20,000 Posts Club
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  4. blessedwife318

    blessedwife318 Well-Known Member
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    NY primary is not until April 19 so hopefully Cruz will have it all sewn up by then and it won't matter. Besides talking about NY values is not more insulting than talking about Texas Value, or Southern Values. We all know what those mean, and only if you choose to be offended by them are they considered a bad thing. I would think that most liberals in NY would be happy that their views are the predominate view making them NY values, and no one know in NY took offense. They know as conservatives they are in hostile territory. Besides if that is the worst thing you can throw at Cruz then Cruz is the best candidate we have had since I was old enough to vote.
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
  5. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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  6. Salty

    Salty 20,000 Posts Club
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    That link does not give details.
     
  7. Rippon

    Rippon Well-Known Member
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    Now come on --does Trump NEED any support from the other candidates who drop out? Of course not.
     
    #27 Rippon, Jan 26, 2016
    Last edited: Feb 11, 2016
  8. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    Hmm...I copied the link verbatim out of my browser URL address.

    At the top of the page click on "First in the Nation Caucuses" , then click on "Caucus Participation".
     
  9. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    Well, yes, he needs help. People need to realize that Trump has about 40% of support from registered voters. Note: Not registered Republican voters. Not "likely voters". Not likely Republican primary voters. Just overall voters.

    Trump has to win Republican PRIMARIES. That takes the votes of registered Republicans that will vote in primary elections. Right now he doesn't have a majority of these voters, he's got about 36% of them.

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/national-primary-polls/republican/

    As other candidates drop out, their supporters will be going to Rubio and Cruz mainly, because once Super Tuesday is over, that's the only other two that will still be in the running and because Trump has insulted everybody else. Then the polls will tighten, it could even be a three way virtual tie with all three in the 30%-35% range.

    Don't forget about states that have open primaries or allow party crossover voting. Democrats can vote for Republicans in these primaries and if they do they would vote for a candidate that they feel would be the weaker Republican candidate. They probably perceive that Cruz is that candidate.
     
  10. Salty

    Salty 20,000 Posts Club
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    But keep in mind that some States/Commonwealths have OPEN primaries.
     
  11. Salty

    Salty 20,000 Posts Club
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    The only thing it says about POUTS vote is: " first item of business will be to conduct a presidential preference poll."
    As I said before : That link does not give details.
     
  12. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    Yes, in my previous post I said:
    "Don't forget about states that have open primaries or allow party crossover voting."

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  13. church mouse guy

    church mouse guy Well-Known Member
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    NY Gov. said that conservatives didn't belong in NY, didn't he?
     
  14. Rippon

    Rippon Well-Known Member
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    Wanna bet? He'll take it for sure.
     
  15. InTheLight

    InTheLight Well-Known Member
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    If Trump is still in the race come April 19th, yeah, I'll take that action. There should only be two people left standing by then.
     
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