Will an Israel/Iran War change the election Dynamics?

If they start WW3 there be a big change. <G>

 

Interesting question, and of course, a set of events that one can only speculate about. My opinion is that despite the increase in gas and food prices that would almost instantly follow, that the total effect would be to help Obama's reelection bid. The reason I say that is that a certain part of the electorate that is undecided at that point would tend to think that during a crisis it is better to stay with an incumbent President. I think a certain amount of this was true in the reelection of FDR in 1944, when he had one foot in the grave. This was his fourth term, which was cut short in April 1945.

I do not recall the exact circumstances, but in 1968 right before the election between Nixon, Humphrey and Wallace, President Johnson stopped the bombing of North Vietnam. Before this, some polls had Nixon winning and Wallace actually coming in ahead of Humphrey in most states. After the announcement (Vice President) Humphrey surged in the polls and just about beat Nixon.

I may be totally wrong, but this is how I see it.

 

Netanyahu is like a barking dog on a chain. He knows he isn't going to be attacking anyone without a big ole heaping helping of American blood and treasure and the American people are getting sick of fighting and paying for all the wars. Especially now that the word is out that "Al Qaeda" is our ally in all the bloodshed. Except for Iraq and Afghanistan of course, "Al Qaeda" is still the enemy there.

 

Poll: Majority of Jewish Israelis oppose attack on Iran

Israeli support for a unilateral attack on Iran has collapsed - dramatically. By a huge margin of over two to one, Israelis believe that it would be a mistake for Israel to attack Iran without US support. 61% oppose a unilateral attack, while only 27% support it.

This is a huge setback for Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak who have championed a unilateral Israel attack on Iran modelled on the successful 1981 Israeli air strike on the Osirak reactor in Saddam Hussein's Iraq.

According to reports from Israel, the final straw came recently when Sheldon Adelson and his pet puppet, Mitt Romney, strenuously urged Netanyahu to attack Iran in order to upstage President Obama in the US presidential election. Israelis are not fond of either Romney or his chief financial backer, and their unpopularity will now impact Netanyahu who rules Israel by a tiny majority in the Knesset that is fashioned out of a very shaky coalition of extremist right-wing parties.

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