How do these guys keep their jobs?
Pollsters across the U.S. once again blew the call in 2020, just like they did in 2016 when they predicted former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would win in a landslide.
President Donald Trump immediately took notice. “[T]he ‘pollsters’ got it completely & historically wrong!” he wrote Wednesday morning on Twitter.
How bad did the pollsters blunder? Here’s what they said right before Election Day, according to RealClearPolitics (RCP), which keeps a running average of all polls from battleground states.
In Arizona, RCP’s average of polls there said it was tied. But with 84% of the vote counted, Democrat Joe Biden won by nearly 100,000 votes, winning by 3.4% — 51% to Trump’s 47.6%.
In Florida, RCP said Biden was up by 1.2%. But he lost big, with Trump winning by more than 375,000 votes and again a margin of 3.4% — 51.2% to Biden’s 47.8%......
.........“A surge of unexpected votes for Donald Trump has confounded the forecasters — again. Whether it’s enough to carry him to victory in the Electoral College, as it did in 2016, was uncertain at this publication Wednesday morning. But by making the 2020 race close, and perhaps taking it into overtime, Mr. Trump has pulled off a second huge political surprise. At least a few pollsters might be looking for a new line of work,” the board wrote.
All The Presidential Polls Were Wrong (Again) | The Daily Wire
Pollsters across the U.S. once again blew the call in 2020, just like they did in 2016 when they predicted former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would win in a landslide.
President Donald Trump immediately took notice. “[T]he ‘pollsters’ got it completely & historically wrong!” he wrote Wednesday morning on Twitter.
How bad did the pollsters blunder? Here’s what they said right before Election Day, according to RealClearPolitics (RCP), which keeps a running average of all polls from battleground states.
In Arizona, RCP’s average of polls there said it was tied. But with 84% of the vote counted, Democrat Joe Biden won by nearly 100,000 votes, winning by 3.4% — 51% to Trump’s 47.6%.
In Florida, RCP said Biden was up by 1.2%. But he lost big, with Trump winning by more than 375,000 votes and again a margin of 3.4% — 51.2% to Biden’s 47.8%......
.........“A surge of unexpected votes for Donald Trump has confounded the forecasters — again. Whether it’s enough to carry him to victory in the Electoral College, as it did in 2016, was uncertain at this publication Wednesday morning. But by making the 2020 race close, and perhaps taking it into overtime, Mr. Trump has pulled off a second huge political surprise. At least a few pollsters might be looking for a new line of work,” the board wrote.
All The Presidential Polls Were Wrong (Again) | The Daily Wire