Donald Trump is blowing away the rest of the GOP field

Discussion in 'Politics' started by kyredneck, Dec 23, 2015.

  1. kyredneck

    kyredneck
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    "...Trump leads the GOP field with 39% support, according to the poll. The next-closest contender is Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, who was doubled by Trump with 18% support in the survey.

    Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida followed the top two candidates, each grabbing 10% of the Republican vote. No other candidate received more than 5%...

    ....His strength in the survey is based largely on Republican voters' belief that he is best suited to handle the top issues facing the US. Overall, pluralities chose him as the best candidate to handle the economy (57%), illegal immigration (55%), and the terrorist group ISIS (47%). No other candidate comes within 25 points of Trump on any of the three issues.

    And Republicans believe more and more than Trump is their best bet to beat Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton in the general election. According to the poll, 46% of Republican voters said Republicans would have a better chance to win the 2016 election with Trump as the nominee. That number is up 8 points from August...."
    http://www.businessinsider.com/poll-donald-trump-leads-america-cnn-2015-12

    If he gets the nomination, can he beat Hillary? Evidently many think he can.
     
    #1 kyredneck, Dec 23, 2015
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2015
  2. Rolfe

    Rolfe
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    Trump cannot beat Clinton in a general election. 46% is not even half of what represents the Party. Then there are the Democrats...
     
  3. InTheLight

    InTheLight
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    BASED ON 292 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS

    http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/12/22/cnnpoll.pdf

    No
     
  4. Rolfe

    Rolfe
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    My own opinion. 292 is hardly a large enough number, unless the pollster seeks a desired result.
     
  5. InTheLight

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    It's enough to gauge a relative separation between candidates. I believe the result of the poll that says there are twice as many Trump supporters as there are Cruz supporters. BUT, the thing to keep in mind is that there are 61% of likely Republican voters that don't like Trump. That's a more telling number than his 39% of support. When the low polling Republican candidates start dropping out, where will they their supporters throw their support? Not Trump.

    http://www.theatlantic.com/politics...s-when-a-presidential-candidate-loses/417867/
     
  6. Rolfe

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    Perhaps on a local level, but a poll made up of 292 respondents seems like a small sample to gauge national-scale sentiment.

    I will admit that there are those with more understanding in these matters than me.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  7. Salty

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    National polls usually only have about 1000. Thus 292 Republicans may be about average.
    From Wiki

    But as far as Trump - his poll numbers have been going up - not only for nomination but for the chances he has to beat Hillary. At the moment - it is 48-42 for trump. (6.1 difference. But noitice 10% had no opinion - that is the group that will elect the next POTUS.
    BTW 2 weeks ago, Trump and Hillary were virtually neck and neck.

    From Real Clear Politics
     
    #7 Salty, Dec 23, 2015
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2015
  8. InTheLight

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    No it's not. It's 48-42 for Hillary.



    Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo using Tapatalk.
     
  9. poncho

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    It's too close to call at the end of the second quarter folks.

    Now we take you to the exciting half time show brought to you by Goldman Sachs, Raytheon, George Soros, Sheldon Adleson and Eli Lilly staring the talented illuminati singers Justin Beiber, Beonce Knowles and Janet Jackson followed by a one eyed musical salute by the Carlyle Group.

    We will return after the show to bring you more exciting play by play action reports at the beginning of the third quarter.
     
  10. HankD

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    A lot can happen between now and November 2016.

    Hillary might even be in prison. Possible, not too probable.

    HankD
     
  11. The American Dream

    The American Dream
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    While Trump does not have much of a bedside manner, he is the best since 1989. Lets review the names, Bush 1, Clinton, Bush 2, Obama.................Another thing to be thankful about is that Bush 3 is on the bottom. As far as Trump beating Hillary, that changes the whole dynamic of the traditional red blue state. For example, in this state, or any southern state, the call at this point would be very difficult
     
  12. InTheLight

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    Not really. All the southern states are red states except for VIrginia and Florida. They are swing states. They are purple. They're always purple. OK, Hillary might take her home state of Arkansas, but I doubt it.
     

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