Donald Trump leads native son Sen. Marco Rubio

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Revmitchell, Mar 9, 2016.

  1. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell
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  2. InTheLight

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    Polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders in Michigan by 27 and 24 points on Monday. Sanders won by 1.5%.
     
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  3. FriendofSpurgeon

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    We live in an interesting state -- probably like three or four states in one. My guess is that it will be very close either way. Trump is hitting the airwaves hard with negative advertising.

    It will be interesting to see what the turnout is in different parts of the states.

    South Florida will go heavily for Marco, heavily bolstered by Cuban Americans and other conservative Latinos. Not sure if that will offset the rest of the state though.

    North Florida (Southern Alabama and Southern Georgia) will go heavily for Trump. The exception may be the Tallahassee and Gainesville areas, which have a higher percentage of college graduates.

    SW Florida up to the Clearwater-St. Petersburg area may lean toward Trump as well, as there are a lot of retired Mid-westerners there.

    Central Florida and Tampa are a toss up. There is a growing Puerto Rican population in Orlando, but they are normally democrats not republicans. Plus, FL is a closed primary - so not sure how this will play out. There are large retirement communities in the area (check out The Villages) and expect those to go heavily to toward Trump. It may come down to the soccer moms/dads in the burbs of these two cities.
     
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  4. church mouse guy

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    Some say that Trump is making a mistake by trying to narrow the field. What keeps Trump in the lead, they argue, is that his opposition is divided among three other candidates. More people have been against Trump than are for him, as you know. By the time Indiana votes in May, it will be all over and my vote won't count for much so I have to rely on others to do what is best for the USA. I have to trust others. It is a good show that I am on borrowed time anyway.
     
  5. InTheLight

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    The latest poll, which came out yesterday. Margin of error is 5.5. I expect after tonight's debate, Rubio will be in the lead. Rubio will win Florida.

    Donald Trump is in a tight contest with Marco Rubio in the Florida senator’s home-state Republican presidential primary, according to a new Washington Post-Univision News poll.


    Trump edges out Rubio slightly: 38 percent to 31 percent among likely Republican voters in the Sunshine State. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) places third with 19 percent, followed by Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 4 percent.


    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-rubio-close-in-fla-primary-washington-post-univision-news-poll-shows/2016/03/10/79c2fb1a-e63a-11e5-a6f3-21ccdbc5f74e_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_floridapoll-930a:homepage/story
     
  6. InTheLight

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    Another poll taken yesterday shows Trump ahead by 9 points. Margin of error is 4.4 points.

    Heading into next Tuesday’s Florida primary, Donald Trump continues to lead his three major opponents in this crucial winner-take-all-delegate contest, according to a Suffolk University poll of likely Republican primary voters.


    Trump (36 percent) holds a 9-point lead over Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (27 percent), for whom the Sunshine State primary is a must win.


    Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has 19 percent, followed by Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 10 percent. Eight percent were undecided. There are 14 candidates listed on the official Florida Republican primary ballot.


    http://www.suffolk.edu/news/65388.php
     
  7. InTheLight

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    So, let's see....

    Monmouth Poll, Trump leads Rubio by 8 points
    Washington Post poll, Trump leads by 7 points
    Suffolk Univ. poll, Trump leads by 9 points
    Fox News poll, Trump leads by 24 points. Hmmm...what is wrong with this picture?
     
  8. Revmitchell

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    Nothing except in the eyes of those who want it to be a problem.
     
  9. InTheLight

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    LAKELAND — Florida Sen. Marco Rubio appears to have moved to within striking distance of Donald Trump in Florida.

    In a Ledger/10 News WTSP poll of likely primary voters released Thursday, Trump leads Rubio 36 to 30 percent, a margin of six percentage points. In other Florida polls just weeks ago, Trump has led by double digits.

    http://www.theledger.com/article/20160310/POLITICS/160319958#document/p1

    (margin of error is 3.8%)
     
  10. InTheLight

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    Poll is fatally flawed because 27% of the respondents have already actually voted. And 89% of them are Trump supporters.
     
  11. Aaron

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    Rubio's Internal Civil War May End Run

    http://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/2016/03/09/rubios-internal-civil-war-may-end-run.html

    [M]ajor donors who have advised Rubio say based on their conversations, Rubio’s ultimate intentions are less certain, and while he may not drop out before Florida, they believe based on these conversations, he will drop out of the race if he loses there.


    They say the candidate has listened to their logic that by remaining in the campaign and losing in his home state to Trump, Rubio would go a long way to handing the nomination to Trump, the volatile Manhattan real estate mogul and reality TV star.


    With that, they are urging him to drop out as soon as possible and endorse Texas Senator Ted Cruz or Kasich, who have a better chance of beating Trump and winning the general election.
     
  12. Aaron

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    Of course, if Trump energizes the base, the women's vote and the black vote will do nothing to keep him from the White House.
     

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