1. Welcome to Baptist Board, a friendly forum to discuss the Baptist Faith in a friendly surrounding.

    Your voice is missing! You will need to register to get access to all the features that our community has to offer.

    We hope to see you as a part of our community soon and God Bless!

Electoral and Popular Vote Predictions

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by saturneptune, Oct 13, 2008.

Top Posters
  1. saturneptune

    saturneptune New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2006
    Messages:
    13,977
    Likes Received:
    2
    What do you think the final electoral and popular vote will be in the Presidential election?
    Obama 290 51%
    McCain 248 48%

    Obama has a good shot at three southern states, NC, FL and VA.
     
    #1 saturneptune, Oct 13, 2008
  2. rbell

    rbell Active Member

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2006
    Messages:
    11,103
    Likes Received:
    0
    Obama 360 53%
    McCain 180 47%

    Obama will IMO carry FL, OH and MO.
     
    #2 rbell, Oct 13, 2008
  3. Andy T.

    Andy T. Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2005
    Messages:
    3,147
    Likes Received:
    0
    I have no idea on the electoral vote, because so many states could go either way, but this how I think the popular vote will end up:

    Obama = 52%
    McCain = 47%
    Others = 1%

    Hardly a mandate for a messiah.
     
    #3 Andy T., Oct 13, 2008
  4. carpro

    carpro Well-Known Member
    Site Supporter

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2004
    Messages:
    25,823
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Faith:
    Baptist
    That will only happen if third party candidates siphon off enough Christian conservative votes to hand Obama the victory.
     
    #4 carpro, Oct 13, 2008
  5. Revmitchell

    Revmitchell Well-Known Member
    Site Supporter

    Joined:
    Feb 18, 2006
    Messages:
    52,013
    Likes Received:
    3,649
    Faith:
    Baptist

    There is no siphoning going on. Only true conservatives voting for true conservative candidates so that we may live with a clear conscience.
     
    #5 Revmitchell, Oct 13, 2008
  6. RockRambler

    RockRambler New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2004
    Messages:
    516
    Likes Received:
    0
    Obama 348
    McCain 191
     
    #6 RockRambler, Oct 13, 2008
  7. rbell

    rbell Active Member

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2006
    Messages:
    11,103
    Likes Received:
    0
    I don't think there are enough Christian conservatives to make up a majority.

    Besides...McCain has too many folks that are voting for him unenthusiastically...and many others who simply won't vote.
     
    #7 rbell, Oct 13, 2008
  8. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 18, 2002
    Messages:
    42,005
    Likes Received:
    1,492
    Faith:
    Baptist
    Obama - 54%
    McCain - 43%
    Others - 3%

    Electoral College:
    Obama - 322
    McCain - 216
     
    #8 KenH, Oct 13, 2008
  9. LeBuick

    LeBuick New Member

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2006
    Messages:
    11,537
    Likes Received:
    1
    I think it will be a lot closer than ya'll project. That is why Obama is campaigning so hard in all the battleground states. I think there will be a Bradley factor so he has to overcome it in order to win.
     
    #9 LeBuick, Oct 13, 2008
  10. KenH

    KenH Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 18, 2002
    Messages:
    42,005
    Likes Received:
    1,492
    Faith:
    Baptist
    What else would he be doing for the next three weeks? Sitting at home watching TV. :)
     
    #10 KenH, Oct 13, 2008
  11. LeBuick

    LeBuick New Member

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2006
    Messages:
    11,537
    Likes Received:
    1
    He could do like McCain and spend his time in the blue states. I wonder which solid red state or community they will send Palin to tomorrow? Hard to believe you're winning votes when everyone shows up in your color shirt... In fact, you can't even sell your shirts like that.
     
    #11 LeBuick, Oct 13, 2008
  12. carpro

    carpro Well-Known Member
    Site Supporter

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2004
    Messages:
    25,823
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Faith:
    Baptist
    Welcome to political rallies.

    That's the nature of the beast.
     
    #12 carpro, Oct 13, 2008
  13. LeBuick

    LeBuick New Member

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2006
    Messages:
    11,537
    Likes Received:
    1
    I could be crazy but I would prefer to have 200 undecided voters at a rally then 20K votes I already have. I know the later makes good TV but the former is how you win elections.
     
    #13 LeBuick, Oct 14, 2008
  14. carpro

    carpro Well-Known Member
    Site Supporter

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2004
    Messages:
    25,823
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Faith:
    Baptist
    "Undecideds" don't exist at partisan political rallies.
     
    #14 carpro, Oct 14, 2008
  15. Andy T.

    Andy T. Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2005
    Messages:
    3,147
    Likes Received:
    0
    Since all the liberals are gloating today, I might as well gloat where I can. I believe that my popular vote prediction was spot on. As of this morning, the actual results are:

    Obama = 52.34%
    McCain = 46.37%
    Others = 1.29%

    When you consider the current political climate, the financial crisis, the Bush backlash, the media love affair with Obama, Obama's very well organized and polished campaign, all the money he had, the record turnout, and everything else going to his favor, the fact that he could only muster 52% of the popular vote should be seen as a complete failure on his part. I think Mike Dukakis could have gotten more votes under these same circumstances.
     
    #15 Andy T., Nov 5, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 5, 2008
  16. LeBuick

    LeBuick New Member

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2006
    Messages:
    11,537
    Likes Received:
    1

    Good call... :thumbs:
     
    #16 LeBuick, Nov 5, 2008
(You must log in or sign up to post here.)
Loading...