Fox news calls Ron Paul for 3rd place

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Salty, Jan 3, 2012.

  1. Salty

    Salty
    Expand Collapse
    20,000 Posts Club
    Moderator

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2003
    Messages:
    22,132
    Likes Received:
    221
    Fox news has just called Paul to finish in 3rd place

    Santorum and Romney are neck at neck
     
  2. Salty

    Salty
    Expand Collapse
    20,000 Posts Club
    Moderator

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2003
    Messages:
    22,132
    Likes Received:
    221
    The New Hampshire results from 2008

    Candidate votes vote% delegates

    Romney.......75,675...32.......7
    Huckabee.....26,916...11.......4
    Giuliani........20,344.....8.......0
    Paul.............18,346.....8.......0
    Thompson.......2,955.....1......0
    Hunter............1,192.....1......0

    Do you think Paul and Romney will do better or not as well in NH this year?
     
    #2 Salty, Jan 3, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 3, 2012
  3. matt wade

    matt wade
    Expand Collapse
    Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 6, 2009
    Messages:
    6,156
    Likes Received:
    76
    All these little primaries don't really mean much. They don't have many delegates. In 2008 here's what happened (in order) with # of delegates in parentheses.

    Huckabee won Iowa (17)
    Romney won Wyoming (8)
    McCain won NH (7)
    Romney won MI (24)
    Romney won NV (17)
    McCain won SC (19)

    So, after Jan 19, Romney is leading with 49, McCain has 26, and Huckabee 17.

    Then Florida comes.

    Florida has 57 delegates and they go to McCain. Romney scores Maine for 18 delegates and then Alaska for 12. Arizona and it's 50 go to McCain.

    The final blow happens with California's 158 going to McCain.


    My point? These little guys at the beginning mean nothing.
     
  4. Salty

    Salty
    Expand Collapse
    20,000 Posts Club
    Moderator

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2003
    Messages:
    22,132
    Likes Received:
    221
    To an extent I do agree, but NH and Iowa do give quite a bit of exposure to different candidates.
    Santorum will get quite a boost, even if he comes in second. (at the moment he is up 109 votes)

    The other thing that the small states will do is often make some candidates go by the wayside. and it likes like this might be the case for Backman - I would say she will go in NH, but a poor showing again, may just be her ticket home.
     

Share This Page

Loading...