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Democrats Should Fear the 2018 Midterms

Revmitchell

Well-Known Member
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GOP congressional candidate Greg Gianforte body-slammed a reporter the day before the U.S. House special election in Montana and still won by 6 percent. Democrats should take that as a harbinger of political doom on a par with meeting the weird sisters or receiving a visit from Hamlet’s father. You need no ghost to come from the grave to tell you that when your policies are 6 percent less popular than misdemeanor assault, you need new policies.

But Democrats seem incapable of learning from elections. After losing the House, the Senate, the presidency, several governorships, and scores of state legislature seats over the past eight years, they continue to charge forward, propelled by the delusion that America’s heart beats for globalism, socialism, part-time jobs, and feckless foreign policy.

The Democrats without Obama are like a furry, pink, drum-beating bunny without a battery.

Meanwhile, once-influential media outlets have become nothing more than tabloid-style, anonymous-source-citing, Republican-attacking enablers, pushing clickbait headlines and irresponsibly spinning narratives that reinforce the delusion that Republicans and conservatives are a tiny fringe group of deplorable racists, xenophobes, and homophobes.

The new narrative emerging from the Montana special election is that Republicans should be spooked about the 2018 midterm elections. The fallacy-ridden logic is that seven months ago President Trump won Montana by a 20-point margin, but in the special election the Republican candidate, Greg Gianforte, only won by 6 points. Ergo, Montana has become 15 points less Republican than it was last November.

A CBS News article stated that “Gianforte’s single-digit win paled next to Trump’s 20-point romp in Montana in November, a sign that Republicans may have to work hard to defend some of their most secure seats to maintain control of Congress.”

Matthew Yglesias wrote for Vox, “If Republicans are winning in places like Montana by just 7 percentage points, then they are in extreme peril of losing their House majority in November 2018.”


This narrative is supposed to have Republicans spinning their legs Scooby-Doo-style as they desperately try to scurry away from President Trump and his agenda. But the narrative is built upon the same sort of Magic 8-Ball, political anti-science that led to the special Madam President issue of Newsweek landing on magazine racks before the 2016 election. It’s just the latest example of somebody screaming an election prophecy into the echo chamber and nobody bothering to notice that it rests on absurd assumptions and ignores important facts.

Democrats Should Fear the 2018 Midterms
 

InTheLight

Well-Known Member
Site Supporter
Meanwhile, once-influential media outlets have become nothing more than tabloid-style, anonymous-source-citing, Republican-attacking enablers, pushing clickbait headlines and irresponsibly spinning narratives that reinforce the delusion that Republicans and conservatives are a tiny fringe group of deplorable racists, xenophobes, and homophobes.

What a compelling argument, full of data and information!


Let's see...

In Kansas: In April reliably safe Republican seat is retained by Republicans by a 52% to 47% win. Just six months prior the Republican candidate handily won 61% to 30%.

In Georgia: In April a Democrat nearly wins a special election in Newt Gingrich's old Congressional district. Gets 48.1% of vote. This is a seat the Republican candidate won by 23 points just seven months previously.

In Montana: Gianforte won 50% to 44%. Just seven months prior the Republican won 56% to 40%.

Throw in the historical fact that the ruling party nearly always loses seats in the mid-term elections and I'd say the Republicans have lots of reasons to worry.
 

church mouse guy

Well-Known Member
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The GOP needs to cut corporate and individual taxes by the end of the year or they will lose on economic issues alone.
 

carpro

Well-Known Member
Site Supporter
What a compelling argument, full of data and information!


Let's see...

In Kansas: In April reliably safe Republican seat is retained by Republicans by a 52% to 47% win. Just six months prior the Republican candidate handily won 61% to 30%.

In Georgia: In April a Democrat nearly wins a special election in Newt Gingrich's old Congressional district. Gets 48.1% of vote. This is a seat the Republican candidate won by 23 points just seven months previously.

In Montana: Gianforte won 50% to 44%. Just seven months prior the Republican won 56% to 40%.

Throw in the historical fact that the ruling party nearly always loses seats in the mid-term elections and I'd say the Republicans have lots of reasons to worry.

All of which means nothing.

What's really behind the win in Kansas is that people didn't mind seeing an abusive and intrusive reporter slammed. It's not really complicated. Most feel he had it coming.
 
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