KenH
Well-Known Member
"The article talks about the Santa Clara lab test study of random people, which implied that the fatality rate for COVID-19 in the U.S. could potentially range between 0.02% to 1%.
What’s more, in comparing recent data from New York and Italy, he and his wife, an infectious-disease specialist at Stanford, found "that people under 65 without underlying conditions accounted for only 0.7% of coronavirus deaths in Italy and 1.8% in New York City."
New York has been the epicenter of the viral spread. Of the top 10 counties with the highest caseload of infected persons, New York has seven of them. The other three are in Chicago, Detroit and Los Angeles, based on Johns Hopkins University data.
Ioannidis told the WSJ that, "Compared to almost any other cause of disease that I can think of, it’s really sparing young people."
If the patterns hold, models such as the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation’s "Murray Model" are likely underestimating the spread of infection (likely due to its asymptomatic nature among large sections of the population) and its severity in those under 65 and without co-morbidities.
The data gives policy makers something more to chew on.
Ioannidis is not anti-quarantine, or anti-mask. He’s not wearing MAGA hats and attending rallies waving American flags. He believes in science. He believes the Earth is round. He says the initial decisions to go into economic lockdown were "fully justified."
But now we are approaching the time to move on. In a free society, it won’t just be the experts who decide this. It will be the populous."
Markets Under Quarantine: The Fog Of War Is Slowly Lifting
What’s more, in comparing recent data from New York and Italy, he and his wife, an infectious-disease specialist at Stanford, found "that people under 65 without underlying conditions accounted for only 0.7% of coronavirus deaths in Italy and 1.8% in New York City."
New York has been the epicenter of the viral spread. Of the top 10 counties with the highest caseload of infected persons, New York has seven of them. The other three are in Chicago, Detroit and Los Angeles, based on Johns Hopkins University data.
Ioannidis told the WSJ that, "Compared to almost any other cause of disease that I can think of, it’s really sparing young people."
If the patterns hold, models such as the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation’s "Murray Model" are likely underestimating the spread of infection (likely due to its asymptomatic nature among large sections of the population) and its severity in those under 65 and without co-morbidities.
The data gives policy makers something more to chew on.
Ioannidis is not anti-quarantine, or anti-mask. He’s not wearing MAGA hats and attending rallies waving American flags. He believes in science. He believes the Earth is round. He says the initial decisions to go into economic lockdown were "fully justified."
But now we are approaching the time to move on. In a free society, it won’t just be the experts who decide this. It will be the populous."
Markets Under Quarantine: The Fog Of War Is Slowly Lifting