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The Bradley Effect

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by carpro, Sep 18, 2008.

  1. carpro

    carpro Well-Known Member
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    http://www.newsmax.com/kessler/Polling_Methods_obama_/2008/09/17/131885.html


    Polling Methods May Tilt Obama Results, Exec Says

    Wednesday, September 17, 2008
    By: Ron Kessler Article


    Most polls may be overstating Barack Obama’s support by 5 to 10 percentage points because those surveyed may not be telling the truth about voting for him, ad executive Gabe Joseph III tells Newsmax.

    SNIP

    The phenomenon has been dubbed the Bradley Effect, first identified in a 1982 California gubernatorial election. Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley was the supposed front-runner in an open race. Polls showed the African-American Democrat running well ahead of white Republican candidate George Deukmejian. Yet, when the returns came in, Bradley lost by more than 50,000 votes.
     
  2. carpro

    carpro Well-Known Member
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    Makes me wonder about the validity of the Bradley Effect.

    It makes a sort of sense, people being the way they are.
     
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