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The chart is outdated as regards Wisconsin. Herb Kohl has announced he will not run for another term. There are several very good possible Republican candidates, potentially including former 4 term governor Tommy Thompson. The only viable Dem at this point is Russ Feingold, who is obviously damaged goods having just lost the other Wisconsin senate seat last year to Ron Johnson. So at this point there is a very good chance this seat will be a pick up for the Republicans.