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Almost perfect prediction Says Biden will win!

Discussion in 'News & Current Events' started by Yeshua1, Aug 6, 2020.

  1. Yeshua1

    Yeshua1 Well-Known Member
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    The model that has predicted with nearly complete accuracy who will be the President now states that Joe Biden will win! Intedresting that ALL major news has now sourced this!
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/allan-lichtman...
     
  2. 777

    777 Well-Known Member
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    Interesting analysis I have to say - sounds like this Litchman guy has 13 "key factors", and Biden wins 7 of them, Trump 6, so he's giving Biden a slight edge here.

    I don't see why he thinks the riots are going to help Biden, and this guy DID miss the popular vote last time:

    Keys to the White House – PollyVote

    Trump didn't win the worthless "popular vote", Hillary did. Still, this is interesting, maybe this election will set a new parameter for him to measure when one of the two candidates has stage 3/4 dementia.
     
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  3. RighteousnessTemperance&

    RighteousnessTemperance& Well-Known Member

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    According to the article, he predicted a Gore win, so that one was wrong. Again, popular vote was not the predictor there. But bottom line, he’s claiming success where he failed, though still a great record.

    His assessments seem a bit off, but he may be basing them off what he feels are public perceptions due to media bias. We’ll see. "It ain’t over till the fat lady sings."

    I suspect that Trump will win, and that it won't be all that close. "Yeah!"
     
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  4. Benjamin

    Benjamin Well-Known Member
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    I'll predict that Trump will win, so if he does that makes me a better predictor than this guy...remember that!
     
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  5. just-want-peace

    just-want-peace Well-Known Member
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    I'm convinced that God will have Trump win IF America shows a bent to return to our founding values; otherwise, IF God is fed up with us Biden will triumph and we will no longer be the "home of the brave & land of the free" - especially the latter!
     
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  6. RighteousnessTemperance&

    RighteousnessTemperance& Well-Known Member

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    OK. I have a great memory, it’s just very short, much like the typical American’s... and your record. :Wink
     
  7. kyredneck

    kyredneck Well-Known Member
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    Ninety days to 'show a bent'? Lol, cuttin it close there jwp.....
     
  8. kyredneck

    kyredneck Well-Known Member
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    ...really, I don't get that one either. The riots should serve as a wake up call to complacent conservatives...
     
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  9. atpollard

    atpollard Well-Known Member

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    I guess as long as they are out anyway ... breaking and burning things ... they might as well vote.
    (and the Rioters probably aren't MAGA fans.)
     
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  10. 777

    777 Well-Known Member
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    Most of the rioters are Bernie supporters in Portland and Seattle, why Joe is letting Bernie dictate his stances on the issues now. If they try to dump Biden now, they'd only be satisfied with a Bernie nomination.

    I think there's a decent chance he might not even be up against Biden. Joe is getting worse by the day, the media is protecting him as much as they can but there's no hiding it now.

    I usually am very accurate with the presidential elections but only about the day before the election - I thought Hillary would win until the last minute, I knew Obama was going to win both times, the same with GWB against Kerry but until two days before the election, I thought Algore would take it.

    It seems historically, riots favor the GOP - Reagan over Brown, Nixon over Humphrey. But this is not a typical election year, polls are off when you consider you don't want to voice your opinions in a toxic speech environment. Trump's to lose for now.
     
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