Read the whole article (or commentary)to see another side to this scenario.If you read a roadmap carefully, you can usually tell what's around the next bend in the road. To predict what comes next in Israeli-Palestinian relations, you need a roadmap and the latest news. But it all depends on where you get your news.
If you get all your news from mass circulation media in the U.S., you are being told that there is a fork in the road, coming very soon. One path leads to peace, via a new Palestinian leadership that stops the terrorism. The other path leads to more Palestinian terrorism, more Israeli counter-violence, and seemingly endless conflict. It's up to the Palestinians. They caused the problem, so they must choose which direction the Middle East will take. That's pretty much the way the mainstream press here portrays the story.
If your news comes from more diverse sources, you know the situation is more complicated. You know that there is serious doubt whether any Palestinian leaders can prevent all violent attacks against Israelis. You know that Israel has kept up its state-sponsored violence against the Palestinians, ignoring calls by the Bush administration to abide by the roadmap, which requires restraint from both sides. You know that some Israeli analysts, and some of Prime Minister Sharon's own advisors, see this as a calculated move by Sharon to undermine the roadmap before it can be tested out.
In this broader news context, things around the next bend look somewhat different. The choices that Palestinians make may not matter very much. Some Palestinians will surely continue to resist the roadmap, since it envisions a limited kind of freedom for the Palestinians on a limited amount of their own land. Whatever other Palestinians say or do, this rejectionist minority will continue to be righteously indignant. The more the Palestinian leaders repress the rejectionists (which is what the roadmap requires, according to Israel), the more indignant the rejectionists will become. A small minority among this minority will surely find a way to kill more Jews.
The next step along this road is tragically predictable. Sharon and his government will "discover" that the new Palestinian prime minister, Mahmoud Abas, is no different from Yasir Arafat. All the labels pinned on Arafat will be transferred to Abas: "supporter of terrorism," "no partner for peace," "failed leader," and-that most damning word of all in today's political discourse-"irrelevant." Sharon will continue to insist that he really would make peace, if only there were a relevant leader on the other side who wanted peace.
If your news comes only from the mainstream media, this will sound perfectly plausible. After all, isn't Palestinian terrorism the main roadblock to peace? What's a peace-loving Israeli government to do? That's the way our mass media, and the Israeli government, tell the story.
http://www.commondreams.org/views03/0520-06.htm