Michael Levitt Analysis: Corona Is Slowing Down | CTech - CTech
Interesting read, he predicts it will be sooner than later gone. Also predicts some significant numbers of persons are actually immune to this virus.
Biophysicist Levitt says Corona is slowing down
Discussion in 'News & Current Events' started by Scott Downey, Mar 23, 2020.
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Scott Downey Well-Known Member
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Gold Dragon Well-Known Member
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Well, he does say it is slowing down, though he seems to be specifically speaking about China in that paragraph.
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Gold Dragon Well-Known Member
But that would not generate clicks. -
Revmitchell Well-Known MemberSite Supporter
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Gold Dragon Well-Known Member
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It's a ray of hope. Like waiting for the eye of of the storm to pass where things can get back to normal. I hope the statistician is right in his assessment.
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Gold Dragon Well-Known Member
I understand wanting to give hope. But giving false information and misrepresenting what people say is not the way to do that. -
This means 1) new guide lines of re-entry into the workforce 2) Protection of those still at risk - elderly and 3) internment of the victims.
yes # 3 is somewhat crass but it is reality. in addition viral treatment drugs are now available, these have been shown to deeply impact the rate of mortality and anecdotally are claimed to shorten the contagion window.
The Italian infection model was possibly impacted by soccer game attendance. -
RighteousnessTemperance& Well-Known Member
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RighteousnessTemperance& Well-Known Member
China did great work and managed to gain complete control of the virus, Levitt said.
Ridiculous. They unleashed this on the world. They did not do a great job and deserve no credit. They owe far more than an apology to the entire world, and especially to the USA and specifically to Trump. -
Gold Dragon Well-Known Member
Survivors? Of course there will be survivors. 80% of symptomatic cases recover without going to hospital. There are estimates (like in the Italian village of Vo where they tested everybody) that there may as high as 50% of all cases were asymptomatic. Both of those groups will develop immunity but we are not sure for how long. So no, this disease will not wipe out the human race and for a huge majority of people it will have very mild or no health implications.
The problem with covid19 is that first wave of exponential growth spreading through the world population that is not immune leading to health systems around the world getting overrun. The exponential growth causes a sudden influx of cases all at once and large numbers of deaths in the 20% that need to go to hospital. Most would normally survive if the health system were not overwhelmed all at once. That is the situation all of us are trying to avoid.
If hydroxychloroquine is an effective therapy, that will go a long way towards reducing the size and duration of the peak for all countries. Here's hoping. -
Gold Dragon Well-Known Member
China is responsible for unleashing this virus on the world with their poor regulation of these animal wet markets with lots of wildlife, creating a perfect storm for viruses like SARS and now SARS-Cov2 (the virus that causes COVID19).
They were also responsible for the virus spreading more than it should initally have because they tried to suppress doctors sharing information about it and hide the extent of the outbreak until things were very advanced.
However once they admitted to the world they had a big problem on their hands, they have actually done a pretty reasonable job (compared to their previous performances in similar situations) of controlling the spread of the virus in their country, limiting their spread to other countries, sharing information, strategies, research and experience with Covid19. They even issued a formal apology to the doctors they wrongly punished.
China definitely has a lot of problems but that doesn't mean that we can't learn from their experience with managing these infections which is something they have a lot more experience with than we in the west do, largely through the fault of their own poor actions and policies. Of course we take what they officially say with a large grain of salt. -
RighteousnessTemperance& Well-Known Member
But comparing Communist China with Communist China? OK, for lying, deceiving, brutal Communists, bent on world domination, maybe they didn't do as bad as they could have—yet. However, considering they've threatened and tried to blame the US for their mess, there is no inclination here to pat 'em on the back. Nice try, but the headline was far less misleading. -
"Biophysicist Levitt says Corona is slowing down"
"Pandemic is 'accelerating', WHO warns..."
Coronavirus pandemic is 'accelerating', WHO warns
...I don't hink we know yet.
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Gold Dragon Well-Known Member
The bad behavior seems to be coming from the politicians while the good behavior comes from the researchers and medical people who are just trying to do their jobs. They are probably censored to some extent by the politicians so we need to read between the lines a bit. -
RighteousnessTemperance& Well-Known Member
The power is wielded by the brutal Communist regime, which is not to be trusted, and this includes their internal apologies and their released data interpreted by a distant, foreign statistician.
If the Chinese Communist regime is made to pay for this worldwide fiasco, as it should be, their economy will tank for sure. That might be good news, if the Communist regime is thrown off for something much better. -
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